Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
312 PM EDT Mon Jun 09 2025

Valid 00Z Tue Jun 10 2025 - 00Z Thu Jun 12 2025

...Showers and thunderstorms from Texas through the Southeast...

...Record heat in the Northwest will ease a bit by midweek; cool
temperatures in the Northeast will moderate...

A pair of frontal boundaries will generally be the focus for showers and
thunderstorms the next couple of days. The northern system will push
through the Northern Plains tonight and into the Upper Midwest tomorrow
(Tuesday) and Great Lakes on Wednesday. Rainfall will generally be light
except within thunderstorms that may develop, especially over eastern
Montana and into the Corn Belt. The southern system will have more
moisture at its disposal and will see much higher rainfall totals over a
larger area. Texas will be the focus for showers/storms through Wednesday
as the stationary front separates cooler air over northern areas and very
hot temperatures over South Texas. The front extends eastward into the
Carolinas where some heavier rainfall is possible this evening and perhaps
overnight. Flash flooding is possible where heavier rainfall occurs,
especially in urban areas but also where it has been wet recently.

Over the Northwest, record heat today and Tuesday will pose an increased
risk for heat-related illnesses. Take precaution during the warmest part
of the day. High temperatures will soar well into the 90s and low 100s
over the interior and lower elevations away from the water. In addition,
breezy conditions pose an increased fire weather risk. Tuesday will still
see some new or near record highs from Spokane to Boise to Reno and
possibly into Las Vegas. Regardless, HeatRisk values will be Moderate over
northern areas and major over the Southwest Deserts (Death Valley may
near/exceed 120F). Extreme heat warnings are in effect through Tuesday for
the lower elevations. Over the Northeast, clouds and showers today will
give way to drier and warmer weather Tuesday and especially Wednesday as
readings climb back into the 80s.

Fracasso

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